{"id":2154,"date":"2017-06-20T08:43:25","date_gmt":"2017-06-20T08:43:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/new\/?p=2154"},"modified":"2017-07-13T10:05:17","modified_gmt":"2017-07-13T10:05:17","slug":"turkey-blackmails-europe-on-visa-free-travel-by-soeren-kern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/2017\/06\/20\/turkey-blackmails-europe-on-visa-free-travel-by-soeren-kern\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey Blackmails Europe on Visa-Free Travel  by Soeren Kern"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<ul class=\"content_preface_bullets\">\n<li>The European Union now finds itself in a classic catch-22 situation. Large numbers of Muslim migrants will flow to Europe regardless of whether or not the EU approves the visa waiver for Turkey.\n<ul>\n<li>\n<hr id=\"system-readmore\" class=\"mceItemReadMore\" \/>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;If visa requirements are lifted completely, each of these persons could buy a cheap plane ticket to any German airport, utter the word &#8216;asylum,&#8217; and trigger a years-long judicial process with a good chance of ending in a residency permit.&#8221; \u2014 German analyst Andrew Hammel.<\/li>\n<li>In their haste to stanch the rush of migrants, European officials effectively allowed Turkey to conflate the two very separate issues of a) uncontrolled migration into Europe and b) an end to visa restrictions for Turkish nationals.<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;Why should a peaceful, stable, prosperous country like Germany import from some remote corner of some faraway land a violent ethnic conflict which has nothing whatsoever to do with Germany and which 98% Germans do not understand or care about?&#8221; \u2014 German analyst Andrew Hammel.<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;Democracy, freedom and the rule of law&#8230;. For us, these words have absolutely no value any longer.&#8221; \u2014 Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"itemprop_articlebody\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<p>Turkey has threatened to renege on a landmark deal to curb illegal migration to the European Union if the bloc fails to grant visa-free travel to Europe for Turkey&#8217;s 78 million citizens by the end of June.<\/p>\n<p>If Ankara follows through on its threat, it would reopen the floodgates and allow potentially millions of migrants from Africa, Asia and the Middle East to flow from Turkey into the European Union.<\/p>\n<p>Under the terms of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.consilium.europa.eu\/en\/press\/press-releases\/2016\/03\/18-eu-turkey-statement\/\" target=\"_blank\">EU-Turkey deal<\/a>, which entered into effect on March 20, Turkey agreed to take back migrants and refugees who illegally cross the Aegean Sea from Turkey to Greece. In exchange, the European Union agreed to resettle up to 72,000 Syrian refugees living in Turkey, and pledged up to 6 billion euros ($6.8 billion) in aid to Turkey during the next four years.<\/p>\n<p>European officials also promised to restart Turkey&#8217;s stalled EU membership talks by the end of July 2016, and to fast-track visa-free access for Turkish nationals to the Schengen (open-bordered) passport-free zone by June 30.<\/p>\n<table class=\"mceItemTable\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px; max-width: 600px;\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"max-width: 600px; border: 1px solid black;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.gatestoneinstitute.org\/pics\/1534.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 82%; margin: 4px 6px;\">Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (left) has boasted that he is proud of blackmailing EU leaders, including European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker (right), into granting Turkish citizens visa-free access to the EU and paying Turkey billions of euros.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>To qualify for the visa waiver, Turkey has until April 30 to meet <a href=\"http:\/\/eur-lex.europa.eu\/legal-content\/EN\/TXT\/?uri=CELEX:52016DC0140\" target=\"_blank\">72 conditions<\/a>. These include: bringing the security features of Turkish passports up to EU standards; sharing information on forged and fraudulent documents used to travel to the EU and granting work permits to non-Syrian migrants in Turkey.<\/p>\n<p>The European Commission, the administrative arm of the European Union, said it would <a href=\"http:\/\/europa.eu\/rapid\/press-release_IP-16-1444_en.htm\" target=\"_blank\">issue<\/a> a report on May 4 on whether Turkey adequately has met all of the conditions to qualify for visa liberalization.<\/p>\n<p>During a hearing at the European Parliament on April 21, Marta Cygan, a director in the Commission&#8217;s migration and home affairs unit, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0XI1C2\" target=\"_blank\">revealed<\/a> that to date Ankara has satisfied only 35 of the 72 conditions. This implies that Turkey is unlikely to meet the other 37 conditions by the April 30 deadline, a window of fewer than ten days.<\/p>\n<p>According to Turkish officials, however, Turkey is fulfilling all of its obligations under the EU deal and the onus rests on the European Union to approve visa liberalization \u2014 or else.<\/p>\n<p>Addressing the Council of Europe in Strasbourg on April 19, Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu <a href=\"http:\/\/www.focus.de\/politik\/ausland\/tuerkei-droht-europa-erdogan-verbittet-sich-kritik-der-eu_id_5450704.html\" target=\"_blank\">said<\/a> that Turkey has now reduced the flow of migrants to Greece to an average of 60 a day, compared to several thousand a day at the height of the migrant crisis in late 2015. Davutoglu went on to say that this proves that Turkey has fulfilled its end of the deal and that Ankara will no longer honor the EU-Turkey deal if the bloc fails to deliver visa-free travel by June 30.<\/p>\n<p>European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0XG0RD\" target=\"_blank\">insisted<\/a> that Turkey must meet all 72 conditions for visa-free travel and that the EU will not water down its criteria. But European officials \u2014 under intense pressure to keep the migrant deal with Turkey alive \u2014 will be tempted to cede to Turkish demands.<\/p>\n<p>EU Migration Commissioner Dimitris Avramopoulos on April 20 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0XH17Y\" target=\"_blank\">conceded<\/a> that for the EU it is not a question of the number of conditions, but rather &#8220;how quickly the process is going on.&#8221; He added: &#8220;I believe that at the end, if we continue working like this, most of the benchmarks will be met.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>European officials alone are to blame for allowing themselves to be blackmailed in this way. In their haste to stanch the rush of migrants to Europe, they effectively allowed Turkey to conflate the two very separate issues of a) uncontrolled migration into Europe and b) an end to visa restrictions for Turkish nationals.<\/p>\n<p>The original criteria for the visa waiver were <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mfa.gov.tr\/turkey-and-the-european-union-have-launched-a-dialogue-on-visa-liberalisation-and-signed-the-readmission-agreement.en.mfa\" target=\"_blank\">established<\/a> in December 2013 \u2014 more than two years before the EU-Turkey deal \u2014 by means of the so-called Visa Liberalization Dialogue and the accompanying Readmission Agreement. In it, Turkey agrees to take back third-country nationals who, after having transiting through Turkey, have entered the EU illegally.<\/p>\n<p>By declaring that the visa waiver conditions are no longer binding because the flow of migrants to Greece has been reduced, Turkish officials, negotiating like merchants in Istanbul&#8217;s Grand Bazaar, are running circles around the hapless European officials.<\/p>\n<p>Or, as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently <a href=\"http:\/\/www.focus.de\/politik\/ausland\/tuerkei-droht-europa-erdogan-verbittet-sich-kritik-der-eu_id_5450704.html\" target=\"_blank\">proclaimed<\/a>: &#8220;The European Union needs Turkey more than Turkey needs the European Union.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The European Union now finds itself in a classic Catch-22 situation. Large numbers of Muslim migrants will flow to Europe regardless of whether or not the EU approves the visa waiver.<\/p>\n<p>Critics of visa liberalization fear that millions of Turkish nationals may end up migrating to Europe. Indeed, many analysts believe that President Erdogan views the visa waiver as an opportunity to &#8220;export&#8221; Turkey&#8217;s &#8220;Kurdish Problem&#8221; to Germany.<\/p>\n<p>Bavarian Finance Minister Markus S\u00f6der, for example, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rp-online.de\/politik\/deutschland\/eu-tuerkei-abkommen-markus-soeder-warnt-vor-masseneinwanderung-von-kurden-aid-1.5850763\" target=\"_blank\">worries<\/a> that due to Erdogan&#8217;s persecution of Kurds in Turkey, millions may take advantage of the visa waver to flee to Germany. &#8220;We are importing an internal Turkish conflict,&#8221; he warned, adding: &#8220;In the end, fewer migrants may arrive by boat, but more will arrive by airplane.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In an insightful essay, German analyst Andrew Hammel <a href=\"http:\/\/www.germanjoys.eu\/2016\/03\/here-come-4-million-5-million-kurds.html\" target=\"_blank\">writes<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Let&#8217;s do the math. There are currently 16 million Turkish citizens of Kurdish descent in Turkey. There is a long history of discrimination by Turkish governments against this ethnic minority, including torture, forced displacement, and other repressive measures. The current conservative-nationalist Turkish government is fighting an open war against various Kurdish rebel groups, both inside and outside Turkey.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This means that under German law as it is currently being applied by the ruling coalition in the real world (not German law on the books), there are probably something like 5-8 million Turkish Kurds who might have a plausible claim for asylum or subsidiary protection. That&#8217;s just a guess, the real number could be higher, but probably not much lower.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If visa requirements are lifted completely, each of these persons could buy a cheap plane ticket to any German airport, utter the word &#8216;asylum,&#8217; and trigger a years-long judicial process with a good chance of ending in a residency permit.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Hammel continues:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;There are already 800,000 Kurds living in Germany. As migration researchers know, existing kin networks in a destination country massively increase the likelihood and scope of migration&#8230;. As Turkish Kurds are likely to arrive speaking no German and with limited job skills, just like current migrants, where is the extra 60-70 billion euros\/year [10 billion euros\/year for every one million migrants] going to come from to provide them all with housing, food, welfare, medical care, education and German courses?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And finally, &#8220;the most important, most fundamental, most urgent question of all&#8221;:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Why should a peaceful, stable, prosperous country like Germany import from some remote corner of some faraway land a violent ethnic conflict which has nothing whatsoever to do with Germany and which 98% Germans do not understand or care about?&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Turkish-Kurdish violence is now commonplace in Germany, which is home to around three million people of Turkish origin \u2014 roughly one in four of whom are Kurds. German intelligence officials <a href=\"https:\/\/www.verfassungsschutz.de\/embed\/vsbericht-2014.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">estimate<\/a> that about 14,000 of these Kurds are active supporters of the Kurdistan Workers&#8217; Party (PKK), a militant group that has been fighting for Kurdish independence since 1974.<\/p>\n<p>On April 10, hundreds of Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pi-news.net\/2016\/04\/muenchen-kurden-und-linke-gegen-tuerken\/\" target=\"_blank\">clashed<\/a> in <b>Munich<\/b> and dozens <a href=\"http:\/\/www.express.de\/koeln\/nach--tuerkei-demo--eskalation-wegen--graue-woelfe--aufkleber---mann-schwer-verletzt-23863578\" target=\"_blank\">fought<\/a> in <b>Cologne<\/b>. Also on April 10, four people were injured when Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fnp.de\/lokales\/frankfurt\/Verletzte-und-Festnahmen-bei-Demos-von-Kurden-und-Tuerken;art675,1952635\" target=\"_blank\">fought<\/a> in <b>Frankfurt<\/b>. On March 27, nearly 40 people were arrested after Kurds <a href=\"http:\/\/www.welt.de\/politik\/deutschland\/article153725266\/Kurden-attackieren-Anti-Terror-Demonstration.html\" target=\"_blank\">attacked<\/a> a demonstration of around 600 Turkish protesters in the Bavarian town of <b>Aschaffenburg<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>On September 11, 2015, dozens of Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/m.welt.de\/vermischtes\/article146290483\/Vermummte-greifen-Moschee-in-Bielefeld-an.html\" target=\"_blank\">clashed<\/a> in <b>Bielefeld<\/b>. On September 10, more than a thousand Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bz-berlin.de\/berlin\/friedrichshain-kreuzberg\/ausschreitungen-in-kreuzberg-zwischen-kurden-und-tuerken\" target=\"_blank\">fought<\/a> in <b>Berlin<\/b>. Also on September 10, several hundred Kurds and Turks fought in <b>Frankfurt<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>On September 3, more than 100 Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rp-online.de\/nrw\/staedte\/remscheid\/bergisch-born-schlaegerei-zwischen-kurden-und-tuerken-aid-1.5361034\" target=\"_blank\">clashed<\/a> in <b>Remscheid<\/b>. On August 17, Kurds <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tagesspiegel.de\/berlin\/polizei-justiz\/berlin-kreuzberg-moschee-mit-pflastersteinen-beworfen\/12198882.html\" target=\"_blank\">attacked<\/a> a Turkish mosque in <b>Berlin-Kreuzberg<\/b>. In October 2014, hundreds of Kurds and Turks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.merkur.de\/lokales\/muenchen\/zentrum\/hauptbahnhof-muenchen-schlaegerei-zwischen-kurden-tuerken-4094871.html\" target=\"_blank\">clashed<\/a> at the main train station in <b>Munich<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>In an essay for the <i>Financial Times<\/i> titled &#8220;The EU Sells Its Soul to Strike a Deal with Turkey,&#8221; columnist Wolfgang M\u00fcnchau <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/0\/ff442fb6-ecfc-11e5-bb79-2303682345c8.html\" target=\"_blank\">wrote<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The deal with Turkey is as sordid as anything I have ever seen in modern European politics. On the day that EU leaders signed the deal, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish president, gave the game away: &#8216;Democracy, freedom and the rule of law&#8230;. For us, these words have absolutely no value any longer.&#8217; At that point the European Council should have ended the conversation with Ahmet Davutoglu, the Turkish prime minister, and sent him home. But instead, they made a deal with him \u2014 money and a lot more in return for help with the refugee crisis.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.soerenkern.com\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Soeren Kern<\/i><\/a><i> is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gatestoneinstitute.org\/\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Gatestone Institute<\/i><\/a><i>. He is also Senior Fellow for European Politics at the Madrid-based Grupo de Estudios Estrat\u00e9gicos \/ Strategic Studies Group. Follow him on<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Soeren.Kern\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Facebook<\/i><\/a><i> and on<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/SoerenKern\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Twitter<\/i><\/a><i>. His first book,<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Global-Fire-Converging-Threatening-Today-What\/dp\/0736959238\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Global Fire<\/i><\/a><i>, will be out in 2016.<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The European Union now finds itself in a classic catch-22 situation. Large numbers of Muslim migrants will flow to Europe regardless of whether or not the EU approves the visa waiver for Turkey. &#8220;If visa requirements are lifted completely, each of these persons could buy a cheap plane ticket to any German airport, utter the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4536,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2154"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2154\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2155,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2154\/revisions\/2155"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4536"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egretnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2154"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}